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Cincinnati Bengals 2026 Win Total 9.5: Over or Under?
The Cincinnati Bengals 2026 win total is set at 9.5 wins.
Is this team going OVER or UNDER that number?
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Trey Hendrickson is gone and that hurts. He was the anchor of this defensive line and the Bengals couldn't get a deal done. Dexter Lawrence and Jonathan Allen come in to beef up the interior but replacing Hendrickson's production is a big ask. Bryan Cook and Kyle Duggar are two new safeties who should help a secondary that needed bodies.
The offense is elite when healthy. Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Chase Brown give Cincinnati one of the best skill groups in the league. Orlando Brown was a good pickup for the line last year but the protection still isn't where it needs to be. And that's the whole season right there.
Can they keep Burrow upright and on the field? Burrow has missed time in four of his five NFL seasons. If he stays healthy for 17 games the Bengals can push for 11 or 12 wins. If he misses a stretch, Joe Flacco steps in and the math changes fast.
The schedule has winnable games: Titans, Saints, Panthers, Colts, Falcons in Madrid. But the Ravens twice, Chiefs, Jags, and Commanders on Monday night are tough spots. The path to 10 wins exists but it's narrow and it all runs through Burrow's availability.
What I Cover:
Trey Hendrickson loss and what it means for the defense
Dexter Lawrence, Jonathan Allen, and the new-look defensive line
Burrow's health history and why it's the only thing that matters
Skill position review: Chase, Higgins, Brown, Gesicki
Schedule breakdown and Burrow injury math
Final Over or Under verdict
This is Part 7 of my 32-team NFL Win Total series.
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