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NFL Fatigue Radar

Team-level fatigue analysis identifying rest advantages and schedule difficulty

Rest Days (35%)

Days since last game. Short weeks (Thu games) get heavy penalties.

7+ days = 5-15 pts
6 days = 25 pts
4-5 days = 35-45 pts (Thu game)

Bye Week (30%)

Weeks since bye week. Early byes hurt late-season teams heavily.

Just off bye = 0 pts
4-6 weeks ago = 18-28 pts
9+ weeks ago = 50 pts

Road Games (20%)

Consecutive away games. Home teams always get 0 here.

Home = 0 pts
1 road game = 8 pts
2+ road streak = 18-30 pts

Travel (15%)

Distance + timezone shifts. West-to-East travel is harder.

0-500 mi = 0-2 pts
1000+ mi = 5-8 pts
Cross-country = 12+ pts
Fresh 0-10 pts - Big edge
Rested 11-20 pts - Normal
Fatigued 21-30 pts - At risk
Exhausted 31+ pts - Fade this team

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