Aaron Nola #27
Philadelphia Phillies
·SP
MLB
SP
PHI
6' 2" · 200 lbs
What Are Aaron's Current Prop Streaks?
5 hits= consecutive games hitting the picked side (over or under)
2 misses= consecutive games going against the picked side
-= no current streak
A high hit rate with current "misses" means the player is statistically reliable but cooling off - read both columns together. Full methodology →
| Line | Hit Rate | Streak | Games | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SO | ||||
| OVER 4.5 | 100% | 5 hits | 5/5 | -200 |
| OVER 3.5 | 100% | 5 hits | 5/5 | -425 |
| OVER 3.5 | 90% | 6 hits | 9/10 | -425 |
| OVER 3.5 | 87% | 6 hits | 13/15 | -425 |
| OVER 3.5 | 85% | 6 hits | 17/20 | -425 |
| OVER 3.5 | 85% | 6 hits | 17/20 | -425 |
| OVER 4.5 | 80% | 6 hits | 8/10 | -200 |
| OVER 4.5 | 75% | 6 hits | 15/20 | -200 |
| OVER 4.5 | 75% | 6 hits | 15/20 | -200 |
| OVER 4.5 | 73% | 6 hits | 11/15 | -200 |
| OVER 5.5 | 60% | 3 hits | 3/5 | +106 |
| UNDER 5.5 | 60% | 3 misses | 12/20 | -122 |
| UNDER 5.5 | 60% | 3 misses | 9/15 | -122 |
| UNDER 5.5 | 50% | 3 misses | 5/10 | -122 |
| UNDER 5.5 | 40% | 3 misses | 2/5 | -122 |
| ER | ||||
| OVER 1.5 | 100% | 10 hits | 10/10 | - |
| OVER 1.5 | 100% | 5 hits | 5/5 | - |
| OVER 1.5 | 93% | 13 hits | 14/15 | - |
| OVER 1.5 | 90% | 13 hits | 18/20 | - |
| OVER 1.5 | 90% | 13 hits | 18/20 | - |
| OVER 2.5 | 65% | 1 hit | 13/20 | -122 |
| OVER 2.5 | 65% | 1 hit | 13/20 | -122 |
| OVER 2.5 | 60% | 1 hit | 3/5 | -122 |
| OVER 2.5 | 60% | 1 hit | 9/15 | -122 |
| OVER 2.5 | 50% | 1 hit | 5/10 | -122 |
| UNDER 2.5 | 40% | 1 miss | 2/5 | +100 |
| OUTS | ||||
| OVER 14.5 | 80% | 3 hits | 4/5 | - |
| UNDER 16.5 | 73% | 1 miss | 11/15 | - |
| UNDER 17.5 | 73% | 1 miss | 11/15 | - |
| UNDER 15.5 | 73% | 1 miss | 11/15 | -127 |
| UNDER 16.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 14/20 | - |
| UNDER 16.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 14/20 | - |
| UNDER 17.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 14/20 | - |
| UNDER 17.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 7/10 | - |
| UNDER 17.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 14/20 | - |
| UNDER 16.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 7/10 | - |
| UNDER 15.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 14/20 | -127 |
| UNDER 15.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 7/10 | -127 |
| UNDER 15.5 | 70% | 1 miss | 14/20 | -127 |
| OVER 14.5 | 70% | 3 hits | 7/10 | - |
| OVER 14.5 | 65% | 3 hits | 13/20 | - |
| OVER 14.5 | 65% | 3 hits | 13/20 | - |
| OVER 14.5 | 60% | 3 hits | 9/15 | - |
| UNDER 15.5 | 60% | 1 miss | 3/5 | -127 |
| UNDER 16.5 | 60% | 1 miss | 3/5 | - |
| UNDER 17.5 | 60% | 1 miss | 3/5 | - |
| HITS ALLOWED | ||||
| OVER 5.5 | 67% | 1 hit | 10/15 | +120 |
| OVER 5.5 | 60% | 1 hit | 12/20 | +120 |
| OVER 5.5 | 60% | 1 hit | 6/10 | +120 |
| OVER 5.5 | 60% | 1 hit | 12/20 | +120 |
| OVER 5.5 | 60% | 1 hit | 3/5 | +120 |
| UNDER 5.5 | 40% | 1 miss | 2/5 | -159 |
+23 more streaks below 70% hit rate hidden
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How Reliable Are Aaron's Props?
Aaron Nola has 52 active prop streaks being tracked by DataStreak.
13 props have hit rates above 80%.
The strongest current streak is SO at 4.5 with a 100% hit rate over 5 games.
Hit rates are calculated from recent game performance - a 90% hit rate over 20 games means the player went over in 18 of their last 20. DataStreak updates these daily after game results finalize, typically by 5 AM ET.
Streaks are one of six pillars in DataStreak's methodology. They're combined with home/road splits, weak defenses, H2H matchups, lineup impact, and fatigue analysis to produce composite edge scores on the Situational Spots page.
